Uganda Premier League Predictions & Betting Tips (UPL Analysis)

Premier League Uganda

- Uganda
Model accuracy
-
O/U 2.5 hit rate
-
BTTS hit rate
-

Match forecasts

Over/Under 2.5 estimates for the next 7 days. These are not betting picks.

27 Oct 2026, 13:00
NEC
vs
Ntugasaze
Over 2.5: 73.4%Under 2.5: 26.6%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
27 Oct 2026, 13:00
Police
vs
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Over 2.5: 78.3%Under 2.5: 21.7%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
27 Oct 2026, 13:00
UPDF
vs
URA
Over 2.5: 59.7%Under 2.5: 40.3%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
27 Oct 2026, 13:00
SC Villa
vs
Blacks Power
Over 2.5: 72.3%Under 2.5: 27.7%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
27 Oct 2026, 16:00
Express
vs
Kataka
Over 2.5: 39.9%Under 2.5: 60.1%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
28 Oct 2026, 13:00
Entebbe UPPC
vs
Maroons
Over 2.5: 78.8%Under 2.5: 21.2%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
28 Oct 2026, 13:00
Kitara
vs
BUL
Over 2.5: 68.5%Under 2.5: 31.5%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
28 Oct 2026, 13:00
Mbarara City
vs
Vipers
Over 2.5: 66.9%Under 2.5: 33.1%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
28 Oct 2026, 16:00
KCCA
vs
Lugazi
Over 2.5: 75%Under 2.5: 25%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
30 Oct 2026, 13:00
Kataka
vs
Police
Over 2.5: 54.2%Under 2.5: 45.8%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Blacks Power
vs
NEC
Over 2.5: 62.7%Under 2.5: 37.3%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
BUL
vs
Entebbe UPPC
Over 2.5: 83.8%Under 2.5: 16.2%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Lugazi
vs
SC Villa
Over 2.5: 81.3%Under 2.5: 18.7%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Maroons
vs
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Over 2.5: 81%Under 2.5: 19%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Mbarara City
vs
KCCA
Over 2.5: 81.1%Under 2.5: 18.9%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 14:00
UPDF
vs
Kitara
Over 2.5: 51.8%Under 2.5: 48.2%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
31 Oct 2026, 17:00
URA
vs
Vipers
Over 2.5: 34%Under 2.5: 66%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet
01 Nov 2026, 13:00
Ntugasaze
vs
Express
Over 2.5: 50.1%Under 2.5: 49.9%
Legacy XGBoost Over; Under = 100% - Over
No bet

Top Picks

No strong picks found in the next 7 days.

All Picks

🕒 Upcoming Matches

27 Oct 2026, 13:00
NEC vs Ntugasaze
27 Oct 2026, 13:00
Police vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
27 Oct 2026, 13:00
UPDF vs URA
27 Oct 2026, 13:00
SC Villa vs Blacks Power
27 Oct 2026, 16:00
Express vs Kataka
28 Oct 2026, 13:00
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons
28 Oct 2026, 13:00
Kitara vs BUL
28 Oct 2026, 13:00
Mbarara City vs Vipers
28 Oct 2026, 16:00
KCCA vs Lugazi
30 Oct 2026, 13:00
Kataka vs Police
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Blacks Power vs NEC
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
BUL vs Entebbe UPPC
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Lugazi vs SC Villa
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Maroons vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
31 Oct 2026, 13:00
Mbarara City vs KCCA
31 Oct 2026, 14:00
UPDF vs Kitara
31 Oct 2026, 17:00
URA vs Vipers
01 Nov 2026, 13:00
Ntugasaze vs Express

Recent Results

Total predictions
0
Win rate
-
Last 10
-
Profit (1u flat)
-
Over 2.5
-
No resolved results
Under 2.5
-
No resolved results

No recent results with predictions found.

League Table

Updated: 2026-10-11 19:25
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11 3 8 12 WWWW
2 NEC 5 3 2 0 9 2 7 11 DWDWW
3 SC Villa 5 3 2 0 8 2 6 11 DWWWD
4 Entebbe UPPC 5 3 1 1 6 2 4 10 WDLWW
5 Blacks Power 6 3 0 3 6 9 -3 9 LLLWW
6 Kitara 4 2 2 0 5 3 2 8 WWDD
7 Police 5 2 1 2 3 4 -1 7 LWDLW
8 KCCA 5 2 1 2 2 4 -2 7 WWDLL
9 Vipers 3 2 0 1 7 1 6 6 WWL
10 Maroons 5 2 0 3 8 6 2 6 WLLWL
11 Lugazi 5 2 0 3 4 9 -5 6 LLWLW
12 UPDF 4 1 2 1 2 2 0 5 WDLD
13 Express 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 5 DDLWL
14 Mbarara City 5 1 2 2 2 3 -1 5 WLDDL
15 URA 4 1 0 3 3 7 -4 3 LLLW
16 Ntugasaze 5 1 0 4 3 11 -8 3 WLLLL
17 Kataka 5 0 2 3 3 8 -5 2 LDLLD
18 Kigezi HomeBoyz 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1 LLDL
Form legend: W - win, D - draw, L - loss
Season: 2026 | Updated: 2026-10-11 19:25 | Matches: 58
  • Avg goals
    2.16
    Per match
  • Over 2.5
    39.7%
    Season hit rate
  • BTTS
    36.2%
    Both teams to score
  • Home wins
    43.1%
    Share of matches
  • Draws
    24.1%
    Share of matches
  • Away wins
    32.8%
    Share of matches

The Uganda Premier League (UPL) is a low-scoring and highly tactical competition where defensive structure and discipline play a central role. Unlike more open leagues, matches are often controlled, with limited attacking output and a strong emphasis on avoiding mistakes.

Clubs such as Vipers SC, KCCA FC, and Express FC are among the most competitive teams, but overall league dynamics remain unstable, especially outside the top tier. This creates a challenging environment for bettors relying on simple form or reputation.

One of the defining characteristics of the Uganda Premier League is its very low goal production. Many matches end with minimal scoring, including frequent 0–0 and 1–0 results. As a result, markets such as Under 2.5 goals and Under 1.5 goals become especially relevant.

Another key pattern in the UPL is the high draw rate. Due to cautious tactics and evenly matched teams, a significant number of fixtures end in draws, particularly among mid-table sides.

From a betting perspective, the Uganda Premier League typically presents:

  • Low-scoring matches → strong tendency toward Under markets
  • High draw frequency → increased probability of stalemates
  • Unstable team form → unpredictable short-term performance

Because of limited global coverage and lower betting volume, the league often shows inefficiencies in bookmaker odds, especially in markets related to total goals and draw probabilities.

Our Uganda Premier League predictions are generated using a data-driven model based on historical match data, team performance metrics, and betting market signals, rather than subjective opinions. The system evaluates:

  • recent team form and consistency
  • defensive strength and goal prevention metrics
  • draw frequency and match balance indicators
  • bookmaker odds and implied probabilities

Given the structure of the league, our model focuses on identifying value in low-scoring and draw-driven scenarios, where traditional betting approaches often fail.

All predictions are tracked transparently and measured in betting units (u), allowing you to evaluate long-term performance rather than relying on short-term results.

For bettors who prioritize discipline and structured analysis, the Uganda Premier League offers opportunities that are often overlooked — particularly in defensive and draw-related markets.